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National and school Attainment 8 scores likely to drop using new point scores in 2017

​As part of the GCSE reforms, the new 9 to 1 grading system will be introduced from 2017. In 2017 and 2018, a combination of legacy (8-point A*-G grading scale) and reformed GCSEs (9-point grading scale) will count in performance tables.

To try to ensure that the achievements in reformed and legacy GCSEs are reflected fairly during this transitional period, point scores for old GCSEs and all other qualifications will be mapped onto the 9 to 1 scale, with 8.5 being the maximum points available for legacy GCSEs. Fewer points are available for grades D-G, as under the new 9-1 system, three grades (3, 2 and 1) replace the current four (D, E, F and G).

The impact of this new methodology is that Attainment 8 scores at both school and national level are likely to go down. As Progress 8 is calculated using prior attainment, the impact on these scores is likely to be less.

National data is available on GOV.UK at the following link: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/key-stage-4-shadow-measures

This document provides information on how national 2015 to 2016 Attainment 8 scores look when re-calculated using a 2017 point score methodology. This shows a significant drop in national figures when using the 2017 methodology. The average Attainment 8 score per pupil in 2015-16 was 48.5. But when 2015-16 results are matched to 2017 point scores, this drops to 43.6.

The DfE is providing schools with the opportunity to view their own 2016 results mapped onto the 2017 point score scale. This is to allow schools to compare the 2015-16 data with the shadow data. The data cannot and should not be used to predict 2017 results for a pupil or school and will not be used for accountability purposes. The purpose of it is to give a first impression of how Attainment 8 and Progress 8 will look on the new point scores methodology.

Schools can view their data at: https://tableschecking.education.gov.uk

You will need to select '2016 Key Stage 4 and 16-18 Performance Tables Checked Data and Early Access' and log in with your personal username and password used during the early access to the revised publication data.

If you need any help with accessing the tables checking website, please contact the helpline on 0845 3077867 or examshelp@rm.com.

Page Published: 03/04/2017